Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.012464 1.179983 1.360056 1.567268 1.798350 2.047360 2.335187
2025-05-11 0.731257 0.963587 1.236715 1.577723 1.988087 2.461966 3.046270
2025-05-18 0.553193 0.817470 1.154479 1.606163 2.185335 2.892389 3.809116
2025-05-25 0.410034 0.678081 1.047548 1.576059 2.292952 3.210946 4.452215
2025-06-01 0.323454 0.593335 0.992252 1.596003 2.454536 3.597653 5.196081
2025-06-08 0.252846 0.514374 0.928160 1.588579 2.569180 3.921238 5.868398
2025-06-15 0.216129 0.480743 0.924138 1.663255 2.799269 4.409066 6.780734
2025-06-22 0.180461 0.439937 0.900520 1.701626 2.974297 4.824804 7.609310
2025-06-29 0.142069 0.383894 0.841149 1.673356 3.041851 5.085028 8.225997
2025-07-06 0.118837 0.352221 0.818661 1.701089 3.194671 5.473729 9.038938
2025-07-13 0.098987 0.322360 0.794118 1.720797 3.333071 5.844213 9.836789
2025-07-20 0.083327 0.297765 0.775365 1.747298 3.481916 6.234674 10.676162
2025-07-27 0.067191 0.267606 0.741821 1.745558 3.587465 6.570124 11.458675
2025-08-03 0.051589 0.233066 0.692816 1.708873 3.630125 6.808798 12.105403
2025-08-10 0.041740 0.211657 0.669039 1.718340 3.753631 7.182169 12.974083
2025-08-17 0.031434 0.183595 0.623688 1.677774 3.782175 7.399262 13.603379
2025-08-24 0.025564 0.168483 0.607133 1.694861 3.916579 7.795972 14.529012
2025-08-31 0.019913 0.150826 0.580080 1.685418 3.998925 8.106529 15.324584
2025-09-07 0.017720 0.147417 0.591465 1.762861 4.252778 8.720027 16.630884
2025-09-14 0.014867 0.139000 0.586836 1.802682 4.434455 9.214173 17.754591
2025-09-21 0.011096 0.122505 0.554367 1.772964 4.474841 9.460958 18.474768
2025-09-28 0.009085 0.114571 0.546693 1.801915 4.635016 9.925057 19.570109
2025-10-05 0.007302 0.106357 0.536214 1.822501 4.778495 10.363427 20.633081